![]() In a new working paper, "Fatal Errors: The Mortality Value of Accurate Weather Forecasts," the economists Jeffrey G. But a group of economists recently tried. ![]() While weather forecasts clearly have value, it's proved hard for economists to determine just how valuable they can be. They help countless people take precautions for the future, literally saving lives. They help the tourism industry predict tourist flows. ![]() They help construction crews make decisions about building. They help farmers make decisions about crops. They may be one of the many things we take for granted in the modern world, but more accurate weather forecasts - and our ability to access them anytime on our smartphones - have tremendous value for our economy. Now they can make relatively accurate forecasts ten days in advance. The two-day forecast for heavy rainfall is now as good as the same-day forecast was back in the mid-1990s.įlawed predictions about the path of hurricanes are about half as likely as they were just a few decades ago.īack in 1990, forecasters could only provide a relatively accurate prediction of weather seven days in advance. Today, a five-day weather forecast is as accurate as a one-day forecast was back in 1980. And supercomputers and advanced statistical models aggregate all this data and help forecasters put together a vivid picture of what's going to happen to our weather in the future.Įquipped with all this technology, meteorologists have been making stunning progress: Satellites circle the earth, beaming in valuable imagery and data. Automated surface-observing systems provide real-time data about conditions on land. Radiosondes, attached to weather balloons, float through the upper stratosphere, gathering data on temperature, humidity, air pressure, wind speed and direction. Doppler radar towers detect precipitation and wind patterns. Today, forecasters are equipped with a stunning array of technology to make weather predictions. Newfangled airplanes were becoming more important in helping to make forecasts, but forecasters were still heavily reliant on random ships in the sea to inform them about weather patterns, like the track of hurricanes. Back then, to make forecasts, meteorologists "relied on the 16th-century thermometer, the 17th-century mercurial barometer, and the medieval weather vane," writes the historian William Manchester. Weather forecasts have come a long way since the 1930s. National Archives 1938 Hurricane Damage at Crescent Beach in Connecticut. And - because of bad forecasting - many of these victims were taken completely by surprise. The Great Hurricane of 1938, or "The Long Island Express" as it was also called, would become one of the most destructive hurricanes in American history. The impact of the tidal surge was so strong that it registered on seismographs as far away as Alaska. "If New York and the rest of the world have been so well informed about the cyclone it is because of an admirably organized meteorological service," the paper wrote.īut that very same morning, off the coast of Long Island, the angry vortex of water and 120-mph winds was already barreling back towards land. The New York Times, in its same edition on September 21, even praised the weather agency for its work in tracking the storm. It deemed the cyclone as posing no threat. And, despite the warnings of one junior forecaster, the agency decided the system would continue spinning away and die in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. The storm ended up changing course and veering away from the Florida coast. Weather Bureau - the predecessor to the National Weather Service - had been tracking a hurricane that was threatening the coast of Florida. "The indications are for rain and cool weather today and for cloudy and continued cool weather, probably with rain, tomorrow, according to the map charted at the United States Weather Bureau at 7:30 o'clock (EST) last night," the paper wrote. ![]() On the morning of September 21, 1938, The New York Times published a run-of-the-mill weather forecast that rang no alarm bells for its readers. ![]()
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![]() ![]() “We aren’t going to settle for an economic package that doesn’t recognize the heroic efforts and personal sacrifices of the ILWU workforce that lifted the shipping industry to record profits,” ILWU President Willie Adams said in the statement. ![]() ![]() Later on Monday much of the work disruption had ended.Īn ILWU representative declined comment Monday, but on Friday the union issued a statement saying that companies represented by PMA made historic profits of $510 billion during the pandemic while ILWU member wages and benefits did not increase in proportion to revenues for the maritime companies. On Monday, PMA said the work slowdowns initially continued, and included union leaders refusing to dispatch workers to marine terminals and making unfounded health and safety claims. PMA also said the union staged similar work actions that shut down or severely affected terminal operations at four other ports: Oakland, Tacoma, Seattle and Hueneme, Calif. The Pacific Maritime Association, an organization representing employers in the labor negotiations with the ILWU, announced Friday that “concerted and disruptive work actions” staged by the ILWU effectively shut down some marine terminal operations at the neighboring Los Angeles and Long Beach ports. The recently recurring port labor trouble stems from negotiations over a labor contract covering 29 West Coast ports since a prior contract with members of the International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 13 expired July 1. “These ships are truly Hawaii’s lifeline,” Chad Buck, founder and CEO of Hawaii Foodservice Alliance LLC, the largest perishable-food distributor in the state, said Saturday in an email. State officials estimate that 80% of all goods consumed in the state are imported, with 98% of that coming by ship. Yet even relatively small disruptions at West Coast ports often can be of large concern for local consumers and business operators, given how reliant residents and companies in Hawaii are on shipping. Work slowdowns at the West Coast ports began Friday and followed cargo handling disruptions during two days in April that delayed cargo loading for a pair of Hawaii-bound Matson and Pasha ships but resulted in no major delays. “The ships are coming in.”īoth Matson and Pasha are monitoring the labor situation for potential continued disruptions. “We’re doing OK right now,” said Emily Sinclair, a Pasha spokesperson. Keoni Wagner, a spokesperson for Matson Inc., said port operations in Long Beach, Calif., and Tacoma, Wash., returned to normal Monday after disruptions over the weekend, and that there was still some slowdown of work in Oakland, Calif., but not to a degree where any other Matson ship schedules are negatively affected.Īt Pasha Hawaii the Horizon Enterprise containership left Long Beach on Saturday with an expected Honolulu arrival today, and the next West Coast port call for the company is Wednesday in Oakland. The only impact for the two biggest ocean cargo carriers serving Hawaii from the mainland appears to be a one-day delay to Thursday for a Matson ship previously scheduled to arrive in Honolulu on Wednesday. Dockworker labor difficulties flared up over the past few days at West Coast ports, but after largely settling down Monday, no major disruptions are expected for Hawaii ocean cargo deliveries. ![]() ![]() Other than these suggestions, the place is wonderful, peaceful, friendly staff.This luxurious property is ideal for fulfilling your latest Robinson Crusoe fantasy, seeing as the resort is located off the coast of Key West, Florida, on Sunset Key, a 27-acre private island. It's currently the fastest growing sport in the country. Convert at least one tennis court into two pickle ball courts and you will get a lot of additional bookings. Tennis courts: pickle ball is all the rage now. What happened to that? The lounge chairs around the pool also need to be updated. ![]() They used to deliver these wonderful, warm muffins and different types of fresh bread. The second day they delivered croissants and they were much better. The bread they delivered the first morning was dry and not very good. (I associate saccharin and cream in capsules with cheap motels off I-95). At the prices they charge (over $1,000/day) we expect not only refrigerated milk, but coconut milk, almond milk, every possible milk, stevia, splenda, etc. The Nespresso coffee was of course excellent (we use that brand in our home), but the condiments were subpar (saccharine, sugar and cream in capsules). Maybe other guests would not notice these things, but we do. While maintaining the shabby chic decor, the cottages need an update in the bathroom area. My wife designs bathrooms and kitchens for large and small projects so we know when something is dated and needs a "face lift". We are in the plumbing fixture business so we notice these things immediately. The shower curtain should be updated to a glass enclosure. The correct way to fix chips is to resurface the entire tub, not do a patch work. The enamel steel tub was patched up in a couple of places where it had chipped (picture attached). It was a cheap system in the first place. It also did not divert the water 100% from the spout to the shower head. The spout for the tub would move around (poorly secured to the wall) every time we used the diverter on it. The bathroom had a tub/shower that did not work too well. The cottage is very comfortable, but it needs an update. But….I have to add: the key lime pie they have is OUT OF THIS WORLD!!! You must try it. I am not saying it was bad but we ate dinner at another restaurant in Key West and that food was outstanding (can't mention the name here). The restaurant Latitudes: great ambiance but the food could be better. A special mention for Jassy who was waiting for us once we got off the ferry. A few minutes on a ferry ride and you arrive at the most peaceful place surrounded by wonderful personnel that greets you with a smile. There is no doubt that the Sunset Key cottages is one of my favorite places to go. The property is beautiful but the staff takes it to another level. We will 100% be back soon and probably before Thanksgiving. It was to the point where my daughter stated it was better than the Ritz. ![]() Took my daughter fishing, always greeted us, always came doing his rounds asking if we needed anything, and was even helping the bar staff. The only sad part was learning that Jas had to go back but was returning later in October. My daughter did not allow us to leave until she had pictures with the staff. To the point where we will be making Thanksgiving reservations. I truly cannot say enough about this place. ![]() Another shout out goes to Teddy and Francesca. They were making her custom virgin drinks that now I am stuck having to find lol. Thomas and Thereza really found a place in my daughters heart. We cannot say enough about the pool bar tenders. ![]() The staff there was simply amazing and friendly. She actually cried when we went to Duval Street and wanted to go back. Our 12 year old was in love with the staff and did not want to leave the island. We went there celebrating mothers day but it turned into much more. The fact that he remembered out name through out the entire stay is alone amazing. When we arrived at the Island, we were greeted by Jas, the island ambassador. From the time you book your reservations, concierge is on point with texting about your wants. ![]() ![]() ![]() In 31 products, levels of lead were so high that they exceeded the maximum amount anyone should have in a day, according to CR’s experts.Īlso troubling: There was no single predictor of which products contained higher levels of heavy metals-for example, brand name didn’t matter, and neither did " organic" or "packed in USA" claims. Most raised concern for adults, too.įor two herbs, thyme and oregano, all the products we tested had levels that CR experts say are concerning. Roughly one-third of the tested products, 40 in total, had high enough levels of arsenic, lead, and cadmium combined, on average, to pose a health concern for children when regularly consumed in typical serving sizes. Read more about how CR tested herbs and spices (PDF). We looked at 126 individual products from national and private-label brands, such as Great Value (Walmart), La Flor, McCormick, Penzeys, Spice Islands, and Trader Joe’s. That’s according to Consumer Reports’ tests of 15 types of dried herbs and spices used in a variety of cuisines. But along with the flavor and memories, herbs and spices could add something less savory to your diet: potentially dangerous heavy metals. Yes, those seasonings really can add spice to our lives, filling our kitchens with tempting aromas and creating memories of people and places linked to special meals. A recipe may call for just a pinch or three of cumin, cayenne, and garlic powder, but what would your grandmother’s arroz con pollo be without them? And what about your secret Simon & Garfunkel fish rub-you know, the one with parsley, sage, rosemary, and thyme? And Joey Davis, who grew up in San Diego, "where Mexican food is on every corner," and whose Jamaican wife "puts habanero in everything, including cucumber salad," says that in his home, "you can’t imagine any dish without spices and herbs."įor many of us, herbs and spices play a large role in our cooking and in our family’s lives. "This is so flavorful, I use less salt in general," she says. Erica Burger of Carmel, Ind., says she became "hooked" on a 21-spice mixture-so much so that she now uses it in all sorts of dishes. Jessica Clark, a mother of two from Lincoln, Neb., says she uses them so often that she buys in bulk and mixes her own blends. Open a drawer or cabinet in any kitchen in the U.S., and you’re likely to find several jars of dried herbs and spices. ![]() ![]() ![]() Title Release: Aiseesoft Video Converter Ultimate 9.0.16Īiseesoft Video Converter Ultimate 9.0. Support iPhone/iPad/iPod and other popular portable devices.Provide powerful video editing features and extract audio track from DVD/videos.Convert homemade DVD and videos to 2D and 3D video formats. ![]()
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Some resistance to hang the stand first install the m102 s receiver to the tree by attaching the ratchet strap to the receiver via the bolt on the right side make sure top is up before securing to the tree completely next slide the standards at the receiver removing the art clip first. This step the seat should move freely but still have. That the orange washers are already installed in. And three-quarter inch bolts - washers in. It up good but it still has to bend without a lot of effort next install the seat using a four. That the orange washers go against the upright not the regular ones snug. And nice touch a lifeline assembly is really simple attach the upright to the base with the three-inch bolt - orange washers to regular washers. And washers the M 102 s receiver at EMA approved safety harness. And safety DVD a parts bag with strap bolts nuts. Summit Treestands Bucksteps® II Climbing StepsĪfter unpack aging the box you'll find the stand along with a manual. 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![]() ![]() Manhart probably lies somewhere between there and the absolute worst, the protesters who are still walking on the flag with a bigger audience than they ever dreamed possible. I guess desecration of the flag is a matter of degrees, possibly starting with the car dealer who flies Old Glory from the antennas of imported cars. So what happened to that big flag that touched the floor?ĭid Manhart tearfully hand it over to the American Legion for one of its retirement ceremonies? Another photo shows her with two smaller American flags held strategically over her upper body. ![]() Good thing nobody important had died, otherwise she couldn't have held it above her waist. There also photos of her standing holding a big American flag with the stars between her breasts, which she covered with her hands, as the stripes spilled onto the floor between her feet. ![]() While she was still in the Air Force, I learned, Manhart posed for Playboy, and that effectively ended her career. Manhart saluting in full uniform, but there were also photos of Manhart out of uniform, and I mean fully out. I was fully in Manhart's corner until I Googled her to try to figure out what she had done in the Air Force. My blood boils at the mere sight of anyone desecrating an American flag, be it by burning, ripping or trampling. She is now the darling of patriotic Americans. "I did not want anything like this, but I got a call from a student who told me that the flag was on the ground, and they were walking on it,'' Manhart told the Valdosta Daily Times. Manhart said that was more than she could stand, and when she put up a bit of a fight, police handcuffed her and returned it to the protesters, none of whom, I'm guessing, ever did one thing for the country or its flag. She surrendered the flag to campus police who handed it back to protesters. Flag etiquette says once a flag touches the ground it must be retired, which is a euphemism for ceremonial burning. Manhart came onto campus last week and saw the flag under the boots of the protesters, and she snatched it up to rescue it. Most people would have let it go as some fringe group if not for Air Force veteran Michelle Manhart. This sort of stuff happens all the time, especially on what Dan Jenkins has described as the left coast. Experience in outside sales is preferred.Valdosta State University has gotten a black eye in a fight it didn't enter.Ī group has been on the campus for days protesting something - nobody can say what with certainty - by resolutely trampling on the American flag. This position requires exceptional communication, presentation and organizational skills, self-motivation and a strong customer service background. We offer the latest in digital advertising solutions, a monthly high-gloss magazine & special sections, as well as a daily newspaper that has been the standard local news for 150 years. This is a great opportunity to join our industry-leading team in Digital and Print Media Sales. We are looking for a competitive, and trustworthy Sales Executive to develop relationships with local business owners in Valdosta Someone to help us meet and surpass business expectations and contribute to our company’s rapid and sustainable growth. ![]() ![]() ![]() The idea behind inheritance in Java is that you can create new classes that are built upon existing classes. It is an important part of OOPs (Object Oriented programming system). Just extending the parent doesnt remove the need for it and if it is not needed anymore you override it. Inheritance in Java is a mechanism in which one object acquires all the properties and behaviors of a parent object. The constructor is an required integral piece of logic tied to the parent class. ![]() Why do I dont want to inherit the constructor? You'd have to state that, and it would only be worthwhile if it were substantially shorter than the new constructors. I had multiple occurences where I did not want to use inhertance because I have to copy all the parameter lists for constructors just to override a method.įor those cases, one could imagine a sugar saying you want to inherit the constructors from the superclass. Basically you have to to this in every class you extend which accepts constructor arguments. Those situations where you really have to define fairly pointless constructors to forward the constructor calls to the superclass are the minority. What is the opposite of a "specialized" constructor? A "generalized" constructor? This doesnt make sense. Constructors are specialized in nothing but the class that they belong to. ![]() If the child fails to pass the required arguments its the childs fault. In Java, a child class inherits its parents fields and methods, meaning it also inherits the parents constructor. The parent constructor works in itself and describes its parameters in its signature. Additional Resources: Java Programs on Classes and Objects Java Programming Examples. Java constructor chaining is a method of calling one constructor with the help of another while considering the present object. ![]() Therefore the child is also responsible for initializing itself and the parent correctly. The parent does not know about the child but wise versa. In general, it is not valid to inherit a constructor, as it will not properly initialize the subclass. 1 Did you provide a non arg constructor (default constructor) in the superclass You must provide one when you have a default constructor in a subclass. Set owner to Accepted must deal with the task of initializing the instance, and thus are specialized in subclasses. Constructors and inheritance - Core Java Questions - Inheritance And Constructors In Java : It is important to understand how constructors in the classes at. It seems an exceeding amount of sugar to me, and I would not expect it any time soon. For those cases, one could imagine a sugar saying you want to inherit the constructors from the superclass. In some cases, this actually works (if you only use default constructors). In those cases where the a subclass requires no further initialization, and no change to the incoming parameters, it would be convenient to not have to introduce special constructors. In languages where class methods act as constructors (like Ruby) you get inheritance by default, and it is often a problem because you can instantiate a class and not initialize it probably. So you should not have constructor inheritance by default. In general, it is not valid to inherit a constructor, as it will not properly initialize the subclass. String info = new StringBuilder(getInformation())Īll subclasses need to provide an implementation of getInformation(), and the display() method will use it to print all details.Much could be said about the disadvantages of constructors, and in fact I have:ĭart constructors solve some but not all of the issues.Ĭonstructors must deal with the task of initializing the instance, and thus are specialized in subclasses. To use our distance property, let's add some behavior to get and display the car's basic information: abstract String getInformation() There's a public default constructor Car() that delegates the private constructor to initialize distance. Now, our distance property and parameterized constructor are private. ![]() |
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